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Kolkata Race 03/04/2025

 Race 1 THE THEOGUNDI HANDICAP

For Horses Rated 21-46, Rated 1-26 Eligible. (Class IV

1200 Mts. 3.00 PM


Jamaica and Jimmy Bee have good early speed.

Sabar can stay close to the pace, but she has been running over 1400m.

Bundle of Charm and Amalfitana may sit back and try to close.

Key Contenders

1 Jamaica (60kg, Rating 41)

  Has been running in Class 3 and Class 4.

  Last run: Finished 8th to Chililady over 1100m, beaten 7 ¼ lengths.

  Best recent effort: 2nd by a short neck to Star Concept over 1100m.

  Drop back to 1200m suits but needs a stronger finish.


2 Sabar (59.5kg, Rating 40)

  Good recent form over 1400m.

  Last run: 2nd to Cashalaika over 1400m, beaten ¾ length.

  Has placed consistently in Class IV but stepping back to 1200m.


3 Jimmy Bee (57kg, Rating 35)

  Last run: 4th to Chililady, beaten 2 ¾ lengths over 1100m.

  Has shown promise over 1200m with a very close 2nd to Madras Cheque.

  Well-handicapped with Suraj Narredu up.


4 Bundle of Charm (56.5kg, Rating 34)

  7-year-old mare, past her prime but placed 2nd over 1100m recently.

  Likely to struggle against younger competition.


5 Amalfitana (55.5kg, Rating 32)

  7-year-old mare, outclassed in recent runs.

  Struggled over 1400m last time, beaten 13 ½ lengths.

Verdict

Jimmy Bee looks well-placed with 57kg and a strong last run in a fast-paced race.

Sabar has consistent form and should be a threat if handling the shorter trip.

Jamaica has the class drop but needs to prove she can finish stronger.

Bundle of Charm could place but may find it tough to win.

Amalfitana looks an outsider.

Betting Strategy

Win: Jimmy Bee

Each-way: Sabar

Place: Jamaica if odds are generous.



Race 2 THE AAYUSH HANDICAP For Horses Rated 21-46, Rated 1-26 Eligible. (Class IV) . 1400 Mts. 3.30 PM


Pace Analysis & Race Shape

Dubai Star (8Y) has been running in Class 3 over various distances, often finishing midfield. Likely to sit just behind the pace.

Cashalaika (4Y) has early speed and won a recent Class 4 race over 1400m. Likely to be one of the pace-setters.

Madras Cheque (5Y) is a strong closer and won a 1200m Class 4 race last month.

Italian Gold (6Y) has mixed form but won over 1400m last December, suggesting some ability at the trip.

Trillionaire (4Y) won his last Class 4 race over 1400m, showing an improving profile. Should be on the pace or just behind it.

Key Horses to Watch

Trillionaire (57.5 kg): Comes off a recent Class 4 win at 1400m with A Prakash aboard. Should be a major contender.

Cashalaika (59.5 kg, Sonu Mishra): Won a Class 5 and Class 4 race back-to-back over 1400m. Likely to be competitive.

Madras Cheque (59.5 kg, P Trevor): Has a top jockey booking and won a recent 1200m race. If she stays 1400m, she’s a threat.

Potential Betting Strategy

Win/Place Considerations: Trillionaire & Cashalaika.

Value Pick: Madras Cheque (with P Trevor) if the odds are good.

Pace Angle: If there’s a fast pace, Madras Cheque might benefit with a strong late run.


 the top three strong horses are:

1 Cashalaika – Strongest with a 4.5 kg weight drop from 60 kg. Has class and a good 1400m time.

2 Italian Gold – 2.5 kg weight drop from 61.5 kg. Proven performer, well-suited to 1400m.

3 Dubai King – Only a 1.5 kg increase from 54.5 kg. Should handle the weight and perform well.


Race 3 THE NETWORK HANDICAP

For Horses Rated 61-86, Rated 41-66 Eligible. (Class II),

1400 Mts.

4.00 PM

Pace Setup & Contenders:

Likely Leaders: Australia, Brilliant Star – Both have shown early speed, with Australia almost winning last time at 1400m.

Prominent Runners: Aabushan, King Louis – Can sit just behind the pace.

Closers: Snowpiercer – Typically comes from behind but will need a good pace upfront.

Key Runners Analysis:

1 AABUSHAN

2 KING LOUIS

3 BRILLIANT STAR

4 AUSTRALIA

5 SNOWPIERCER

Prediction:

Top Choice: Australia – Well-weighted, in-form, and should get an ideal trip.

Danger: Brilliant Star – If he stays the trip, he’s a threat.

Value Bet: Aabushan – If pace collapses, could capitalize.

Pace Scenario Beneficiary: Snowpiercer – If they go too fast upfront.

Top 3 Based

1 SNOWPIERCER – Best time, but +3kg weight increase (Still strong if handling weight).

2 KING LOUIS – Strong time, but a big +6kg increase could be a concern.

3 ALL TIME LEGEND – Gets a huge weight drop (-7.5kg), making him a strong contender despite past times.

Strongest Horse Consideration:

SNOWPIERCER: Best raw time but weight is a factor.

ALL TIME LEGEND: Massive weight advantage, could improve significantly.

AEROPOLI: Minimal weight increase (+1.5kg), which is an advantage compared to others.


Race 4 THE BANGALORE TURF CLUB CUP

For Horses Rated 81 & above, Rated 61-86 Eligible. (Class I)

1400 Mts.

4.30 PM

1 Global Influence (Sonu Mishra, 66kg, Rating 113)

  Strong contender with a recent 2nd-place finish over 1600m in Kolkata behind Vincent Van Gogh.

  Has Class I winning form over 1400m and 1200m.

  Top weight (66kg) is a concern but has been competing at a high level.

  Ran 5.5 lengths ahead of King’s Retreat on 24-Jan-2025.

2 Chopin (P Tejeshwar, 61kg, Rating 103)

  Consistent performer in Class I and 1600m races.

  Finished 1L behind Vincent Van Gogh in the latest 1600m race.

  Prefers a slightly longer trip but has placed over 1400m before.

3 King’s Retreat (R Vaibhav, 61kg, Rating 103)

  Ran 5th in his last 1600m race.

  Has Class I experience and finished close to Chopin and Global Influence in the past.

  Placed 1L behind A Star Is Born over 1400m recently.

4 Thousand Words (R Ajinkya, 55.5kg, Rating 92)

  Dropping significantly in weight.

  Recent winner over 1100m in Class II, but stepping up in class.

  Needs to prove himself at this level over 1400m.

5 Supreme Grandeur (P Trevor, 55kg, Rating 91)

  Lightest in the field with Trevor up, a positive jockey booking.

  Finished 9.5L behind Vincent Van Gogh in Class I 1400m.

  Has a chance if the weight advantage helps.

Top Contenders:

1 Flying Scotsman

2 Liban

3 Stormy Ocean

Next Strongest:

4 Thousand Words –

5 Raffaello

Projected Finish

1st: Flying Scotsman

2nd: Liban

3rd: Stormy Ocean






5 (177) THE ANDROPOV HANDICAP

For Horses Rated 41-66, Rated 21-46 Eligible. (Class III),1600 Mts. 5.00 PM

1 Good Deeds (62.5 kg, Nikhil Naidu)

  Last run: 2nd over 2000m (07-Mar), previously won over 2400m.

  Drops in distance from 2000m to 1600m, which could be a concern.

  Heavy weight (62.5kg) could be a challenge.

  Strong stayer, but needs to handle the drop in trip and higher weight.

2 Booster Shot (60.5 kg, P Trevor)

  Ran 3rd in a 1800m race (01-Mar).

  Has been competing at 1800m-2000m regularly.

  Has Trevor in the saddle, which is a positive.

  1600m might suit, but needs to prove effectiveness at this distance.

3 ChampagneSupernova (59.5 kg, Vivek G)

  Last run: Poor performance in a 2800m race.

  Won a 2000m Class 4 race (26-Dec).

  Has a win at 1600m (14-Nov-2024), but overall fitness/form is questionable.

4 Asagiri (58.5 kg, Suraj Narredu)

  Won a 1400m Class 3 race (13-Mar).

  Has been improving, jockey booking (Suraj Narredu) is a major positive.

  Steps up to 1600m, but pedigree and recent performance suggest he can handle it.

5 No Worry (57 kg, Imran Chisty)

  Won at 1600m last start (15-Mar).

  Consistent performer at this trip.

  Carries 57kg, which is manageable.

  Could be a strong contender based on recent form.

Predicted Race Setup

Pace Projection: Moderate to steady. Asagiri and No Worry might be prominent early, while Good Deeds and Booster Shot could settle midfield.

Strongest Finishers: No Worry and Asagiri appear well-suited for a 1600m finish.

Concerns: Good Deeds and Booster Shot might be better over longer distances.

Top Picks

1 No Worry – Proven at 1600m, in form, and well-weighted.

2 Asagiri – Recent winner, top jockey, and should handle the distance.

3 Booster Shot – Trevor’s booking is a plus, but needs to prove himself at 1600m.

4 Good Deeds – Classy, but weight and drop in trip are concerns.


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