Race 3
THE CURSETJEE DHUNJISHAW SALVER A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40-66 (Class-III) (20 to 39 eligible) 1600 Mts. 5.30 PM
Race Analysis – The Cursetjee Dhunjishaw Salver (Class III, 1400m)
1. Lord and Master (59kg) – P Trevor
Pros:
Proven at 1400m with a win last start (Class III) beating Golden Glow.
P Trevor retained, strong jockey booking.
Consistent form at this class level and improving ratings.
Cons:
Up 4kg from last win.
Raced in a slow-run race last time; might struggle in a truly run contest.
Verdict: Strong contender, but weight rise and race tempo are concerns.
2. Kanya Rashi (58kg) – Shrikant Kamble
Pros:
Won a Class 3 race over 1600m in Kolkata, showing good turn of foot.
Can stay the trip strongly if the pace is solid.
Cons:
Recent form over 2000m in Class 2 was poor (beaten 11 ¼ lengths).
Likely to be outpaced if the race is too sharp.
Verdict: Outside chance if it turns into a stamina test.
3. Golden Glow (57.5kg) – Antony Raj S
Pros:
Finished a close 2nd to Lord and Master last time over the same trip.
Has run competitively in Class 2 before, indicating ability.
Well drawn (1) for a good position.
Cons:
Only 1 win from 10 recent runs.
Could be a place contender rather than a winner.
Verdict: Each-way chance, needs to improve to win.
4. Ultimo (57kg) – R Ajinkya
Pros:
Won a 1600m Class 3 race last start, clocking a strong 1:34.96.
Well-handicapped, only up 3kg.
Can adapt to different pace scenarios.
Cons:
Might find 1400m a bit sharp if it's a fast-run race.
Verdict: Live chance if pace collapses.
5. Thundering Phoenix (54kg) – C S Jodha
Pros:
Progressive 4YO, won a Class 4 race over 1400m last start (1:22.96 – good time).
Carries only 54kg, significant weight advantage.
Likely to lead or sit handy, controlling the pace.
Cons:
Big jump from Class 4 to Class 3.
Has yet to face strong opposition.
Verdict: Potential upset candidate, must respect.
6. Alexandros (50kg) – Neeraj Rawal
Pros:
Lightly weighted (50kg), with staying potential.
Trained by P Shroff, known for improving horses.
Cons:
Best form over 2000m+, drop in trip a concern.
Yet to win at 1400m.
Verdict: More of a long-shot, could surprise if race collapses late.
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Final Verdict & Betting Strategy
Win Contenders:
1. Ultimo (value at 57kg, strong last win over 1600m).
2. Lord and Master (top-class form, but weight is a challenge).
3. Thundering Phoenix (dangerous front-runner at 54kg).
Place & Value Plays:
Golden Glow (each-way chance, should be in the mix).
Kanya Rashi (could run on late if pace is hot).
Potential Betting Approach:
Win Bet: Ultimo (value) or Thundering Phoenix (if odds are generous).
Place Bet: Golden Glow (consis
tent).
Market Movements & Early Betting Trends
✅ If Ultimo stays firm ( Very strong bet.
✅ If Thundering Phoenix or Golden Glow shorten → One of them is a serious challenger.
✅ If Alexandros gets backed lower) → Stable confidence rising.
Race 4
THE SETH RAMNATH DAGA TROPHY
A Handicap for Horses Rated 80 & upward (Class-I) (60 to 79 eligible) 1400 Mts. 6.00 Pm
Horse-by-Horse Analysis:
1. SNOWFALL (61.5kg, Rating 105)
Proven Class I performer; high rating (105), giving weight to the field.
Recent 1400m run (02-Mar-2025) in a Terms Race: Finished 3rd behind Knotty Charmer, beaten 5¼ lengths (1:23.41).
Track record at Mumbai: Competitive in 1200m-1400m races at this level.
Last Class I win (10-Aug-2024, 1200m, 1:09.04, beating Son of a Gun).
Concerns: Weight (61.5kg), last win was over 1200m, prefers shorter sprints.
🏇 Verdict: Strong contender, but weight makes it challenging. Likely place chance.
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2. CHRISTOPHANY (55kg, Rating 92)
Recent Class I Win (09-Feb-2025, 1400m, 1:22.85), beating Son of a Gun comfortably.
Career-best 1400m time at Mumbai: 1:22.46 (27-Dec-2024, Class I, 2nd to Democracy).
Light weight (55kg) gives a major advantage over Snowfall.
Stable Intent: Imtiaz Sait runners often perform well when at value odds, and won at odds-on last start, so may not be as strongly fancied today.
🏇 Verdict: Big win chance, well-handicapped, proven 1400m performer.
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3. SHAMBALA (54kg, Rating 90)
Last race (20-Feb-2025, 1200m, Class II): Won impressively by 2.5L (1:09.04).
Unexposed at Class I, but progressing well; ran 1:24.99 for 1400m (07-Sep-2024, Class 3).
Fitness: Strong recent win suggests readiness for step up.
Trainer (Nazak Chenoy) often places horses well in handicaps.
🏇 Verdict: Potential dark horse, improving, could be a surprise.
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4. SON OF A GUN (54kg, Rating 90)
Out of form: Beaten 5.75L in 1600m Class I (06-Mar-2025).
1400m form (09-Feb-2025, Class I): 8.5L behind Christophany, same weight here.
Recent runs suggest he's struggling at this level.
Trainer (Narendra Lagad) horses often win at bigger odds, but needs major improvement.
🏇 Verdict: Unlikely contender, out of form.
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5. CELLINI (50kg, Rating 82)
Aging (9Y), past his prime.
Last 1400m run (27-Dec-2024, Class I): Beaten 14¼ lengths by Democracy.
Last race (20-Feb-2025, 1200m, Class II): 22L behind Shambala.
Weight advantage (50kg) but no recent form to back it up.
🏇 Verdict: No realistic chance.
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Final Selections:
1️⃣ CHRISTOPHANY (Best bet, well-handicapped, proven at 1400m, top recent run)
2️⃣ SNOWFALL (Class edge, top weight concern but capable)
3️⃣ SHAMBALA (Unexposed, improving, each-way value)
Race 5
THE 1805 TROPHY
A Handicap for Indian Horses Rated 40-66
(Class-III) (20 to 39 eligible)
1200 Mts. 6.30 PM
1. Esperanza (61) - 59kg
Won over 1000m on 16-Feb-2025 (Class 3) in 0:56.51.
Has good sprinting ability but is up in weight (59kg), which might affect performance over 1200m.
Last 1200m run (09-Jan-2025) finished nose behind Timeless Vision in 1:11.61, showing competitiveness.
Drawn 6, may need a strong break to secure a forward position.
2. Art Collector (54) - 55.5kg
Won a Class 4 race on 23-Jan-2025 over 1200m in 1:10.46.
Decent run over 1400m in Class 3 (26-Feb-2025), finishing 5 1/4 lengths behind Lord And Master.
May prefer 1200m over 1400m, and weight drop to 55.5kg is a positive.
Drawn 4, should sit just off the pace.
3. Quicker (53) - 55kg
Close 2nd over 1200m (23-Feb-2025) in 1:10.07 (Class 3).
Also finished 0.5 lengths behind Esperanza over 1000m (16-Feb-2025).
Well-handled by P Trevor, should be a strong contender with 55kg.
Drawn 5, may get a good stalking position.
4. Aperol (51) - 54kg
Strong third-place finish on 06-Mar-2025 over 1200m (Class 3) in 1:09.81.
Finished 1.5 lengths behind Esperanza over 1000m.
Consistent performer, well-drawn in stall 1, may get a good rails run.
5. Aries (49) - 53kg
7-year-old gelding, struggling in Class 3 (finished 15 1/4 lengths behind on 06-Mar-2025).
Not in top form, might need a drop in class to be competitive.
Race Setup & Prediction
Likely Front Runners: Esperanza, Aperol (both have strong early pace).
Stalkers/Pace Pressure: Quicker, Art Collector (should get ideal tracking positions).
Closers: None with standout late kick.
Final Call:
1. Quicker (Strong form, weight advantage, and top jockey).
2. Art Collector (Prefers 1200m, gets weight relief).
3. Aperol (Well-drawn, recent performances are solid).
4. Esperanza (Tough but carrying weight).
Watch for Betting Trends
If Quicker is backed, that’s a strong signal.
Aperol at value odds could
be a good each-way play.
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