Race 3
THE UPGUARDS HANDICAP (Class III)
1100 Mts.4.00 PM
1 Casha (P Trevor | 62.5kg | Draw 6)
Positives: Consistent form, narrowly beaten in last two runs at 1200m and 1400m. Winner in January over 1400m.
Negatives: Top weight (62.5kg) could be a challenge over 1100m. Needs a strong pace to close well.
Pace Angle: Likely to sit mid-pack and finish strongly
2 All Time Legend (Nikhil Naidu | 60.5kg | Draw 2)
Positives: Down in class after racing in Class II. Ran well in his last 1200m start, finishing 4th.
Negatives: Aging 7-year-old with inconsistent performances. Needs a perfect trip to feature.
Pace Angle: Will be handy, but may not have the speed to match younger rivals.
3 Kay Star (Imran Chisty | 60.5kg | Draw 1)
Positives: Just missed out in the last race at 1100m. Has strong recent form.
Negatives: Hasn't won in a while; vulnerable to younger horses.
Pace Angle: Likely to settle just off the pace and make a late surge.
4 Star Concept (Suraj Narredu | 60kg | Draw 5)
Positives: Won convincingly over 1100m last time. Good form in similar conditions.
Negatives: Has never carried 60kg before. Needs to prove he can handle the weight.
Pace Angle: Will be on pace or just behind the leaders, making a strong push late.
5 Light the World (Hindu Singh | 59kg | Draw 3)
Positives: Winner over 1200m in December. Ran well in March over 1100m, finishing close.
Negatives: Needs to step up to beat some strong rivals here.
Pace Angle: Likely to settle midfield and look for a late burst.
Race Analysis:
Pace Setup: Expect a solid pace with Star Concept and Kay Star pushing forward.
Fitness Factor: Casha is the fittest runner with consistent runs at different distances.
Class Drop Benefit: All Time Legend comes down from Class II but may lack the speed edge.
Verdict:
Strong Winning Chance: Star Concept (Good recent form, Suraj Narredu up, suited to 1100m).
Value Pick: Kay Star (Improving form, well-drawn).
Watch Out For: Casha (If pace is hot, can close well).
Race. 4
THE SETAFLAME CUP
1200 Mts. 4.30 PM
1. WHIRLWIND (57kg) – Top Contender
Recent Form: Strong 2nd in an 1100m maiden (1:06.41), prior 4th in a 1600m race.
Class & Handicap: Improved rating (71). Performs well at shorter distances.
Timing: Competitive (1:06.41 for 1100m).
Pace & Suitability: Proven sprinter; better at 1200m than 1400m+.
2. COOL DADDY (53kg) – Unexposed
No past races recorded.
Trainer & Jockey Intent: Trainer Rajender Reddy is not known for early success with juveniles.
3. CORTADO (53kg) – Dark Horse
Recent Form: Close 2nd in 1400m maiden (1:26.77), previously ran poorly over 1200m.
Class & Handicap: Needs to improve on sprint distance.
Timing: Decent but not standout (1:26.77 for 1400m).
Jockey: P Trevor is a positive booking.
4. STAR PRIDE (53kg) – Watch Betting Trends
Last Race: Finished way behind in a 1200m race in Mumbai.
Trainer: Aashay Doctor’s stable can be tricky with odds-based wins.
5. KEITARO (51.5kg) – Improving
Recent Form: 3rd in a 1400m maiden, close 2nd in a 1200m maiden (1:13.16).
Timing: Slightly below top contenders but improving.
Jockey & Trainer: Imran Chisty is a positive rider booking.
6. POLKI (51.5kg) – Outside Chance
Recent Form: 2nd behind Whirlwind (1:07.98 for 1100m).
Class & Timing: Needs to improve significantly.
Stable Intentions: B Mahesh's runners surprise at good odds.
Prediction & Selection
1 WHIRLWIND – Strong form, best timing, and proven over 1200m.
2 KEITARO – Improving, well-handicapped, and should be in the mix.
3 CORTADO – Can surprise with P Trevor but needs to handle 1200m well.
4 POLKI – Outside chance if odds drift.
Race.
5 THE MEG MERRILIES HANDICAP
1600 Mts.
5.00 PM
For Horses Rated 61-86, Rated 41-66 Eligible. (Class II)
Updated Final Ranking:
1️⃣ SNOWPIERCER (Biggest weight drop, strong fitness)
2️⃣ FLYING SCOTSMAN (Best among weight-gainers, no medical concerns)
3️⃣ SENSATIONAL (If recovered, has a strong chance)
4️⃣ AEROPOLI (Decent fitness, could surprise)
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