Race 1 The Star Shine Trophy Div. II (1200m, Class 4)
Cinderella’s Dream has shown early speed in past races but tends to settle mid-pack.
Windborne has led before and could set the pace.
Manor House has raced prominently but lacks a strong finishing kick.
Shirsa prefers a stalking position and has experience at longer distances.
New Yorker and Fleetwood are lightly raced and unpredictable in pace setup.
A moderate pace is likely, with Windborne and Manor House taking early positions, while Cinderella’s Dream and Shirsa sit off the pace.
Key Contenders
1. Cinderella’s Dream (59kg, Draw 4)
Won on 29-12-2024 in Class 4 over 1200m.
Finished 2nd to Quicker last start.
Consistent performer with 1:11-range timings.
Weight (59kg) could be a concern.
2. Windborne (59kg, Draw 1)
Won a 1000m Maiden race in July 2024.
Last race: 10.5L behind Dulari (1:10.38).
Needs improvement to match Cinderella’s Dream.
3. Manor House (56kg, Draw 2)
Ran 3rd behind Cinderella’s Dream on 29-12-2024.
Could improve with P Trevor up.
Decent timing (1:10.75), but may lack a strong finishing kick.
4. Shirsa (56kg, Draw 7)
Strong finish in 1400m last start (2nd by Head).
Better over 1400m but not without a chance if the pace is fast.
Lightly weighted and could be an outsider.
5. New Yorker (54.5kg, Draw 9)
Last race: 5.75L behind Ghirardelli (1:11.15).
Down in weight but unproven at this level.
Verdict
Cinderella’s Dream is the best proven at this level but has to handle top weight.
Manor House (56kg, P Trevor) could turn the tables with weight advantage.
Shirsa is an outsider if the pace is hot.
New Yorker has place prospects with a low weight.
Top 2 Predictions:
1. Manor House (P Trevor)
2. Cinderella’s Dream (Bharat Singh)
Race 2 THE J. P. VAZIFDAR TROPHY
A Handicap for Horses Rated 60-86 (Class-II)
(40 to 59 eligible)
Contender
1. Regal Command (62kg, Rating 86)
Has been racing over longer distances (2400m) and dropping back to 1600m.
Finished 2nd to Charlie in a similar race over 1600m (4.5L behind).
Won at 2400m in Class 1 but is now carrying top weight.
Will rely on a strong closing effort, but weight is a concern.
2. Ardakan (56.5kg, Rating 75)
Comes off three consecutive wins (1600m, 1800m, 1400m).
Won at this trip in 1:36.90 (good timing).
Faces a class test but has the right running style.
Jockey booking of A Sandesh is a big positive.
3. Celestial (55.5kg, Rating 73)
Impressive 4L win last time at 1400m.
Step up to 1600m but past form suggests it should suit.
Progressive 4YO with a low weight advantage.
Could dictate pace or sit just behind leaders.
A big contender, but jockey Vivek G is relatively inexperienced at this level.
4. Pride's Prince (54.5kg, Rating 71)
Won a similar Class 2 race over 1600m (1:38.39) recently.
Close 2nd to Charlie (1:37.01).
Well-handicapped and positioned to run prominently.
A strong candidate if track favors front runners.
5. Splendido (54kg, Rating 70)
Was far behind in his last 1600m attempt (11.5L behind Charlie).
Ran better at 1400m (Shd 2nd to Celestial).
Better at 1400m-1800m; place chance but winning looks tough.
6. Flaming Lamborghini (52.5kg, Rating 67)
8YO returning from a long break.
Recent form is poor, with large margins of defeat.
Hard to fancy against younger, in-form horses.
The Best Two
1️⃣ Ardakan (Good weight drop, strong workouts, market support)
2️⃣ Fortunate Son (Biggest weight drop, strong trackwork, but market is neutral)
Race 4 The Shapoorji Pallonji Breeders' Juvenile Colts' Championship (G3) - 1600m
Top Contenders Based on Performance & Trackwork
1. Gunsmoke (Trainer: M Narredu | Jockey: Yash Narredu)
Past Performance:
23-Feb: 2nd in a 1400m race, lost by a head to Big Bay, showing strong finishing ability.
02-Feb: 2nd in a 1400m race, lost by a short neck to Prokofiev in 1:22.49, an impressive timing.
29-Dec: Winner over 1400m.
Trackwork (Strongest in the field):
11-Mar: Started 3 lengths behind Eaton Square, finished 5 lengths ahead (suggests top form).
04-Mar: Moved nicely (suggests continued fitness).
Verdict: Top contender based on race experience, fitness, and strong trackwork. Likely to be a front-runner or sit close to pace.
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2. Oliver (Trainer: P Shroff | Jockey: Vivek G)
Past Performance:
02-Feb: 3rd in a 1400m race, finished 0.75 lengths behind Prokofiev.
16-Jan: Won a 1400m maiden race comfortably.
Trackwork:
13-Mar: 1:55 for 1600m, moved well, indicating good stamina for this distance.
07-Mar & 23-Feb: Consistently clocking good times, staying strong over 1600m.
Verdict: Strong place chance, improving with each run. The longer trip suits him, and he can challenge late.
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3. Red Bishop (Trainer: P Shroff | Jockey: P Trevor)
Past Performance:
23-Feb: Finished 3rd in 1400m, just a short neck behind Gunsmoke.
09-Feb: Won 1400m maiden (1:23.59).
Trackwork:
07-Mar: 600m in 40s, moved well, but not as strong as Gunsmoke or Oliver.
Verdict: Decent competitor, but others have stronger trackwork and proven performances.
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4. Diego Garcia (Trainer: Adhiraj Jodha | Jockey: A Sandesh)
Past Performance:
02-Feb: 2nd over 1600m, lost by a short neck to Fynbos. Good form at this distance.
29-Dec: 3rd behind Gunsmoke in a 1400m race.
Trackwork (One of the best in the field):
13-Mar: Finished well ahead of Kanya Rashi, strong gallop.
08-Mar: Moved fluently, confirming fitness.
Verdict: Big threat based on stamina and trackwork. If the race pace is strong, he will finish powerfully.
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5. Little John (Trainer: Dallas Todywalla | Jockey: Akshay Kumar)
Past Performance: No significant races yet.
Trackwork:
13-Mar: 800m in 51s, 600m in 38s, moved fluently.
07-Mar: Good movement over 1200m.
Verdict: Potential dark horse, but lack of race experience makes him a risk for a win bet.
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6. Miracle of Hanukah (Trainer: Aman Hussain | Jockey: Mustakim Alam)
Past Performance:
09-Feb: Finished 7 lengths behind Red Bishop over 1400m.
Trackwork:
14-Mar: Moved fluently, but not exceptional.
Verdict: No significant performance to challenge top contenders.
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7. Stormy Sea (Trainer: M K Jadhav | Jockey: Antony Raj S)
Past Performance:
02-Feb: Finished 4.75 lengths behind Prokofiev over 1400m, decent effort.
Trackwork (Strong):
13-Mar: Finished way ahead of Fortunate Son, 1200m in 1:20, very impressive.
Verdict: Strong place chance, improving rapidly.
Final Betting Strategy:
✅ Diego Garcia (Most reliable based on odds
and fitness)
✅ Stormy Sea (Value Bet at 7/1) – Best track
improvement
❌ Avoid Gunsmoke & Oliver – Odds drift
suggests concerns
❌ Red Bishop losing market confidence
Race 5 The Forbes Breeders' Juvenile Fillies' Championship (Grade 3) – 1600m
Fynbos (Rating: 10) & Mystical Dawn (Rating: 1) have won over 1600m in their last starts, showing proven ability at this trip.
Fynbos won a 1600m race at Mumbai in 1:36.55, which is a strong time for a 3YO filly. She is the highest-rated and proven at this level.
Mystical Dawn won her 1600m race in 1:41.13, which is significantly slower. This suggests she may be weaker compared to Fynbos.
Royal Champ (Rating: 25) finished far behind Fynbos in the same 1600m race at Mumbai (14 ¾ lengths behind), making her an unlikely contender.
2. Race Experience and Progression
Fynbos has won at 1600m in a term race, making her the most experienced at this class and distance.
Mystical Dawn has improved with every run but was in a lower-grade Maiden race at Hyderabad. Her time (1:41.13) suggests she needs significant improvement.
Amaze and Inspire, Arabeska, Pristine Glory, and Royal Champ have not yet won beyond 1400m. They need to prove their stamina for this race.
Heart (1:37.23 at 1600m) ran 5.25 lengths behind in a maiden race but posted a reasonable time. She has some potential if she improves.
3. Pace and Running Style
Fynbos is likely to track the leaders and finish strongly, a proven strategy in her last win.
Mystical Dawn and Heart have shown front-running tendencies, but their ability to sustain the lead against stronger horses is questionable.
Arabeska and Pristine Glory have mid-pack running styles, but they will need a significant pace collapse upfront to feature in the finish.
4. Fitness and Recent Performance
Fynbos and Mystical Dawn are race-fit and coming off last-start wins, making them strong contenders.
Heart and Arabeska ran well in their previous races but need a big step up in performance to challenge Fynbos.
5. Bloodline and Distance Suitability
Fynbos (Kingda Ka - Mahali) is well-bred for middle distances and has already proven herself over 1600m.
Mystical Dawn (Smuggler's Cove - Mykonos) has relatives that performed well at 1400-1600m but will need to prove herself at this level.
Heart (Gusto - Beldon Hill) has stamina influences in her pedigree, but her previous race indicates she may need a drop in class to win.
6. Trainer and Jockey Influence
Fynbos (P Shroff - P Trevor) is trained by a leading Mumbai-based trainer and has a top jockey, which is a strong advantage.
Mystical Dawn (L V R Deshmukh - A Ashhad Asbar) is from a strong Hyderabad stable, but Deshmukh's horses typically take time to mature.
Heart (Deepesh Narredu - Yash Narredu) has a capable jockey, but her form is still questionable.
7. Market Confidence and Betting Trends
Fynbos is likely to be a short-priced favorite based on her strong 1600m win in 1:36.55.
Mystical Dawn could be the second choice but may be overhyped due to her last win in a weaker field.
Heart and Arabeska could be value each-way bets if they improve significantly.
Verdict: Top Contenders
1. FYNBOS (Strong Win) – The best-rated, fastest, and most proven at 1600m. Should be hard to beat.
2. Mystical Dawn (Place) – Has potential but needs a big jump in improvement to match Fynbos.
3. Heart (Value Place) – Decent 1600m run last time but still has to prove herself in stronger company.
Betting Strategy:
Strong Win Bet: FYNBOS
Each-Way Bet: MYSTICAL DAWN, HEART (for value
in the place market)
Fynbos should win if she repeats her last race performance.
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