RACE 2
THE MANIKYADHARA FALLS PLATE
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20 to 45 (Class-IV) 1600 Mts. - 3.00 PM
Key Runners Analysis:
1 Thewhisperquietly (62.5kg, LA Rozario)
Recent Timing? 1:39.12 (1600m) in this class on 31-Jan (5th), decent time but carrying 1.5kg more today.
Pace Role? Mid-pack runner, needs a strong pace.
Verdict: Could place, but weight is a concern.
2 Bruce Almighty (60kg, Antony Raj S.)
Recent Timing? 1:38.94 (1600m) on 18-Jan (2nd), good form.
Pace Role? Closer, benefits from strong pace.
Verdict: Strong contender, recent form suggests a win/place chance.
3 Imperial Star (59.5kg, Neeraj Rawal)
Recent Timing? Ran 1:40.96 (1600m, Class IV) on 15-Nov, but that was a slow race.
Pace Role? Likely a stalker, should be in the mix.
Verdict: Class drop makes him a threat if he improves. Watch betting trends.
4 Equalizer (55kg, Salman Khan)
Recent Timing? 1:26.29 (1400m) on 18-Jan, needs to prove stamina for 1600m.
Pace Role? Likely a mid-pack runner, needs a clear run.
Verdict: Can surprise if stamina holds.
5 Vafadar (55kg, P. Trevor)
Recent Timing? 1:38.93 (1600m, Class IV) on 01-Mar (3rd), strong run.
Pace Role? Stalker, can finish well.
Verdict: Big chance with Trevor, one of the best bets.
6 Stentorian (54.5kg, Yash Narredu)
Recent Timing? 1:38.21 (1600m, Class IV) on 14-Feb (2nd), very strong effort.
Pace Role? Can sit close to the lead, could control pace.
Verdict: Strong contender based on last run.
7 N R I Victory (53kg, V R Jagadeesh)
Recent Timing? 1:38.21 (1600m, Class IV) on 14-Feb (2nd), same as Stentorian.
Pace Role? Should be mid-pack.
Verdict: In form, worth considering.
Pace Scenario & Betting Insights:
Front Runners: Stentorian, Vafadar
Stalkers: Imperial Star, Equalizer, Thewhisperquietly
Closers: Bruce Almighty, N R I Victory
If the pace is strong, Bruce Almighty, Imperial Star, and N R I Victory should be finishing well.
If the pace is moderate, Stentorian and Vafadar will be hard to beat.
Top 3 Contenders:
1 Vafadar – Strong last run, top jockey (P. Trevor).
2 Stentorian – Best recent time (1:38.21), could control pace.
3 Bruce Almighty – Consistent in Class IV, should be in the mix.
Watch betting trends, especially for Imperial Star (class dropper) and N R I Victory (light weight, in form).
RACE 4
The Sir Charles Todhunter Memorial Handicap (1200m, Class III, 5Y & Over) 4.00 PM
Contenders:
1. SOUTHERN FORCE (60kg, 58 Rating)
Positives: Strong consistent runs in Class 3, placed close behind Knotty Patton, Metzinger, and Lauterbrunnen.
Concerns: Tends to finish close but not win; might need a strong pace upfront.
Verdict: Place chance.
2. INVINCIBLE (58.5kg, 55 Rating)
Positives: Won Class 4 over 1100m & 1200m comfortably; good form in last two runs, finishing behind Finley.
Concerns: Class rise, needs further improvement.
Verdict: Could place with improvement.
3. HIGH SPEED DIVE (57kg, 52 Rating)
Positives: Has some 1200m form.
Concerns: Last two Class 3 runs were weak, finishing well beaten.
Verdict: Unlikely to feature prominently.
4. AMAZING ATTRACTION (56kg, 50 Rating)
Positives: Decent Ooty form.
Concerns: Bangalore form is weak, questionable class.
Verdict: Needs a significant turnaround.
5. KLIMT (55kg, 48 Rating)
Positives: Close 2nd over 1400m in Class 3 last season.
Concerns: Out of form in recent runs.
Verdict: Needs revival, risky bet.
6. SPRINGSTEEN (55kg, 48 Rating)
Positives: Finished 3rd behind Knotty Patton in Class 3 (1200m), improving with each run.
Concerns: Class 4 winner recently, but handles the track well.
Verdict: Strong contender, likely to be in the top 3.
Predicted Finish:
1 SPRINGSTEEN – Improving form, placed well behind Knotty Patton.
2 SOUTHERN FORCE – Class dropper with good track record.
3 INVINCIBLE – Lightly raced with some improvement expected.
4 KLIMT – If returning to old form, could surprise.
Betting Strategy:
Win/Place: SPRINGSTEEN (Value at good odds)
Place: SOUTHERN FORCE, INVINCIBLE
RACE. 5
THE MADRAS RACE CLUB TROPHY A Handicap for Horses Rated 80 and above (Class-I), (60-85 eligible) 1200 Mts. 4.30 PM
1. SANTORINO (62.5 kg, Rating 108)
Consistently running over 1400m-1600m but has sprinting ability.
Ran a close second in a 1400m term race in January (Class 1).
Highest-rated horse in the field, but 62.5 kg could be a challenge in a fast-run 1200m.
Verdict: Tough task with top weight but class horse.
2. CZAR (61.5 kg, Rating 106)
1200m specialist, winning multiple Class 1 sprints in Mysore.
Last two Bangalore runs were decent (close to Isn’t She Beautiful).
1.09.98 timing in Mysore is fast; can dictate pace.
Verdict: Strong chance if he controls pace.
3. ALDGATE (58.5 kg, Rating 100)
Had a good run in Chennai, finishing close behind Time and Tide (who is a top sprinter).
Has won in Class 1 over 1200m before.
Verdict: Each-way contender, track conditions key.
4. STAR GLORY (58 kg, Rating 99)
Another speedster who ran well in Chennai behind Ricardo.
Beaten just 0.5L last time in Class 1.
Should be prominent early, but may not be the strongest finisher.
Verdict: Place chance, needs things to go right.
5. VIVALDO (56 kg, Rating 95)
Dropping in distance after running 1400m/1600m recently.
Trevor riding is a positive.
Has solid Bangalore form (recent 1400m win).
Verdict: If he handles the drop to 1200m, he can be a late closer.
6. DUN IT AGAIN (51.5 kg, Rating 86)
Oldest horse in the race (7Y) and past his best.
Hasn’t been close in recent runs.
Verdict: Hard to recommend.
Let's break down these three horses in the pace scenario and their potential impact on the race.
6. DUN IT AGAIN (55.5kg)
Pace Style: Likely to race midfield or just behind the leaders.
Recent Form: Needs to be checked, but the weight is manageable.
Key Concern: If the race is too fast early, he might be positioned well to capitalize late.
7. METZINGER (54.5kg)
Recent Performance: Won the Koyna Plate (Class II, 1200m) on 07-Mar-2025.
Pace Style: Usually sits midfield before launching a late run.
Advantage: Coming off a win, confidence should be high. The slight weight drop could help.
Key Concern: Will need a good pace upfront to make his run effective.
8. VIJAYA FALCON (53kg)
Pace Style: More of a closer, usually comes from behind.
Weight Advantage: Lightest in the field, which could help in the finish.
Key Concern: Will need the front-runners to tire out for a strong late finish.
Final Thoughts
Santorino has the best trackwork and benefits from the weight drop, making him a serious contender.
Metzinger is the best-handicapped horse and comes off a win. If he gets the right pace setup, he can strike.
Czar needs to dictate the pace efficiently but might struggle if there’s too much early pressure.
Race 6
6 THE BRAHMAPUTRA PLATE
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20 to 45 (Class-IV) 1400 Mts. 5.00 PM
Pace Setup & Running Style
Honourable Lady (61.5kg) – Likely to sit midfield or towards the rear; hasn't been finishing strong in recent runs.
Monterio (60kg) – Seems versatile but best suited to a tracking role just behind the leaders.
Basilica (59.5kg) – Should be prominent early; has shown some finishing ability over 1400m.
Verrazzano (57kg) – Comes off a solid 1200m run; can be up with the pace.
Lords Grace (56.5kg) – Prefers settling midfield; not a strong finisher but was close in last 1400m run.
Mehra (54.5kg) – Has early speed but questionable stamina for 1400m.
Victoriaraya (54kg) – Can race handy; not the strongest finisher.
Winfield (54kg) – Likely to settle midfield or rear; won over 1200m recently.
Posthaste (53.5kg) – No clear form over 1400m; likely to struggle.
Key Contenders
1 Basilica – Class dropper, has form over 1400m, and Trevor’s booking is a positive.
2 Verrazzano – Last run over 1200m was strong; if he stays 1400m, he’s a major threat.
3 Lords Grace – Decent run over 1400m in January; has improvement potential.
4 Monterio – If he can sustain his effort over 1400m, he has a chance.
Betting & Final Thoughts
Pace Advantage: Verrazzano & Basilica likely to be prominent.
Best Stamina Option: Basilica (Trainer Attaollahi, jockey Trevor).
Potential Dark Horse: Lords Grace (showed some promise over 1400m).
Race 7
THE SOUPARNIKA PLATE
A Handicap for Horses Rated 20 to 45 (Class-IV), 6yrs & over 1200 Mts. 5.30 PM
1. AGERA (60kg, Draw 4, Akshay Kumar)
Recent Form: Finished close in last few runs, including 3.75L behind Augusto (18-Jan) and 3.5L behind Super Marvella (28-Dec).
Class & Weight: Competed consistently in Class 4 but carrying top weight.
Pace Setup: Likes to sit close to the lead; early speed should suit him.
Jockey Booking: Akshay Kumar is a strong positive.
Verdict: Top contender, but weight is a concern.
2. ALTAMONTE (59kg, Draw 3, Salman Khan)
Recent Form: Won (18-Jan) but struggled in last two runs over 1200m and 1400m.
Pace Setup: Prefers mid-pack but lacks a strong finishing burst.
Jockey Booking: Salman Khan (not a strong booking).
Verdict: Place chance at best; may struggle against stronger closers.
3. DUFY (59kg, Draw 1, Neeraj Rawal)
Recent Form: Lost narrowly to Altamonte (18-Jan), solid form in Pune/Mumbai circuit.
Class & Weight: Handled 59.5kg before but faces a tight weight spread here.
Pace Setup: Usually sits midfield and finishes strong.
Jockey Booking: Neeraj Rawal is a solid booking.
Verdict: Strong contender if he improves on last Bangalore effort.
4. MEGA SUCCESS (58.5kg, Draw 7, V R Jagadeesh)
Recent Form: Close 2nd in last two 1400m races (Lady Invictus & Glow in the Dark).
Class & Weight: Light weight advantage, has placed in this company before.
Pace Setup: Usually sits midfield and finishes late.
Jockey Booking: Jagadeesh has been riding him consistently.
Verdict: Each-way value, could sneak into the top 3.
5. SUPER KIND (57.5kg, Draw 5, A R Pradeep)
Recent Form: Won last start (8-Mar), beating Double Vision over 1200m.
Class & Weight: Well suited to Class 4; 57.5kg is manageable.
Pace Setup: Should be prominent early.
Jockey Booking: A R Pradeep knows him well.
Verdict: Live chance coming off a win.
6. SILVER SWIFT (56kg, Draw 12, Antony Raj S)
Recent Form: Not showing much lately, beaten 5L in last run.
Class & Weight: Aging, lacks a strong recent performance.
Pace Setup: Likely to struggle from a wide draw.
Verdict: Unlikely to feature.
Pace & Race Shape
Super Kind & Agera should be among the early speed.
Mega Success & Dufy will look to finish strongly.
Altamonte may find it tough to match the front-runners.
Final Selection:
1 DUFY (Strong chance with Neeraj Rawal)
2 AGERA (Class horse but top weight)
3 SUPER KIND (Last start winner, can repeat)
4 MEGA SUCCESS (Value for place)
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